Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
39.42% ( -0.35) | 25.05% ( -0.14) | 35.53% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% ( 0.7) | 46.02% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.68% ( 0.66) | 68.32% ( -0.65) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( 0.13) | 23.16% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.96% ( 0.19) | 57.04% ( -0.19) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.75% ( 0.61) | 25.25% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40% ( 0.83) | 60% ( -0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |