MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 05:20:29| >> :600:2398106:2398106:
Bayern logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leverkusen logo

Bayern
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen


Upamecano (13'), Goretzka (52')
Neuer (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tella (69')
Tapsoba (13'), Wirtz (22'), Kovar (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen

 Although they were forced to settle for a draw when the sides met in September, it seems that Bayern Munich are bound to knock Leverkusen off their perch this season. Xabi Alonso's team are not quite the force they were this time last year, while their hosts have been brilliant both in defence and attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
56.85% (-0.1 -0.1) 22.11% (-0.186 -0.19) 21.04% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 56.27% (1.068 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (1.208 1.21)42.47% (-1.21 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (1.195 1.2)64.87% (-1.195 -1.19)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (0.376 0.38)14.74% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (0.718 0.72)42.96% (-0.719 -0.72)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.968 0.97)34% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (1.029 1.03)70.68% (-1.03 -1.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 56.85%
    Bayer Leverkusen 21.04%
    Draw 22.11%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 56.85%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.04%

How you voted: Bayern vs B. Leverkusen

Bayern Munich
63.4%
Draw
19.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
17.6%
153
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Pavlovic (39')
Upamecano (23')
Andrich (31')
Alonso (23'), Andrich (32'), Wirtz (57'), Grimaldo (71')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Bayern
Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')
Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Bayern
Palacios (55' pen., 73' pen.)
Kimmich (22')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Sane (3'), Musiala (17'), Mane (39'), Muller (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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