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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 25
Oct 20, 2024 at 11am UK
Borisov Arena

BATE
3 - 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Aleksievich (30'), Rusenchik (53', 58')
Zhulpa (43'), Sotnikov (47'), Emmanuel Affi (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vegerya (44'), Godyaev (55')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between BATE Borisov and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 2-3 BATE
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0-4 Neman
Sunday, October 6 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
57.87% (-0.067 -0.07) 22.41% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 19.72% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.93% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)15.48% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)44.35% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.050000000000004 0.05)37.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.92% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 57.87%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 19.72%
    Draw 22.41%
BATE BorisovDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 10.72%
2-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.87%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.41%
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.26% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.72%

Head to Head
May 26, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 10
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2-0
BATE
Lovets (28'), Godyaev (32')
Harutyunyan (63'), Gerasimov (68'), Ageev (90+1')

Jimoh (30')
Nov 12, 2022 11am
Jul 15, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 15
BATE
1-2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Malkevich (14')
Bordachev (43'), Malkevich (78')
Vaskov (11'), Guletskiy (41')
Khvalko (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk27197148113764
2Neman28194541192261
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ28168442212156
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest28146861342748
5Vitebsk28135103124744
6Gomel281110737271043
7BATE BorisovBATE28107113133-237
8SlutskSlutsk28106122540-1536
9IslochIsloch2898113229335
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr28810102831-334
11Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2897122836-834
12FC MinskFC Minsk28610122839-1128
13Smorgon27610112844-1628
14Naftan28410142644-1822
15Dnepr Mogilev2829172454-3015
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk2857161842-242


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