Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.