Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio2 - 1Cagliari
We said: Lazio 2-0 Cagliari
In their present form, Lazio should ease past a toothless Cagliari side on home turf, where they are particularly tough to beat. The hosts have several attacking weapons to call upon, whereas their struggling visitors average under a goal per game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Cagliari |
62.85% ( 0.27) | 21.9% ( -0.03) | 15.24% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% ( -0.27) | 50.6% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( -0.23) | 72.51% ( 0.23) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( -0) | 15.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.55% ( -0) | 44.44% ( 0) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.49% ( -0.48) | 45.51% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.66% ( -0.38) | 81.33% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 62.85%
Cagliari 15.24%
Draw 21.9%
| Lazio | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 62.85% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.24% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Cagliari
Lazio
90.2%Draw
8.3%Cagliari
1.5%132
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 5pm
