Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
for
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
for
We said: Chesham United 1-2 Lincoln City
Lincoln will be the favourites to progress from this first-round time, and while we think that they may be in for a tricky evening, we believe that their EFL quality will help them claim a narrow win to seal a place in the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chesham United had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Chesham United win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesham United | Draw | Lincoln City |
18.84% ( 0.22) | 23.23% ( 0.25) | 57.93% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
