Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.