Losing two regulars to your backline is a lot to overcome, but luckily for Flu, Juventude have been poor in the attacking third all season, scoring the second-fewest goals (21) while also allowing the most (45). Expect Cano to have more than his share of scoring opportunities in this one, and he rarely misses the chances presented to him. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 9.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Juventude
74.31% ( 0.01)	16.64% ( -0.01)	9.05% ( -0)

Both teams to score 43.48% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68% (

0.04)

43.33% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.28% (

0.04)

65.72% (

-0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.92% (

0.02)

10.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.8% (

0.03)

33.21% (

-0.03)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.35% (

0.03)

51.65% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.22% (

0.02)

85.78% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 74.29%

Juventude 9.05%

Draw 16.64%

Fluminense	Draw	Juventude
2-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 74.29%	1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 16.64%	0-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.87% Total : 9.05%