Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Sep 10, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Fluminense2 - 1Fortaleza
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, September 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Corinthians | 25 | 5 | 43 |
5 | Fluminense | 25 | 9 | 42 |
6 | Athletico Paranaense | 25 | 2 | 42 |
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-3 Botafogo
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Sao Paulo | 25 | 2 | 30 |
13 | Fortaleza | 25 | -3 | 30 |
14 | Botafogo | 25 | -5 | 30 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Fortaleza |
55.25% ( 1.77) | 23.87% ( -0.41) | 20.87% ( -1.36) |
Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% ( 0.16) | 50.21% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% ( 0.15) | 72.17% ( -0.15) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.96% ( 0.73) | 18.04% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.07% ( 1.24) | 48.93% ( -1.24) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.43% ( -1.26) | 38.57% ( 1.26) |