Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Nov 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Atletico Mineiro3 - 1Fortaleza
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, October 29 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 29 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Fortaleza |
55.21% ( 0.03) | 26.25% ( -0.02) | 18.54% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 40.61% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.69% ( 0.05) | 61.31% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.77% ( 0.04) | 81.23% ( -0.04) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( 0.03) | 22.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.03% ( 0.05) | 55.97% ( -0.05) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.35% ( 0.02) | 47.64% ( -0.02) |