MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 21:50:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Botafogo logo

Sao Paulo
2 - 2
Botafogo

Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventude 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Internacional
Saturday, July 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo

While Sao Paulo have been very good on their home patch this term, it is difficult to back against Botafogo given their record this season. There is very little to choose in this one and we feel these two will share the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBotafogo
47.82% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 27.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.45% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)59.55% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11% (-0.026 -0.03)79.89% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)59.66% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.67% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 47.81%
    Botafogo 24.83%
    Draw 27.35%
Sao PauloDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.86%
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 47.81%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 9.16% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 24.83%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Botafogo

Sao Paulo
34.1%
Draw
36.6%
Botafogo
29.3%
41
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Sao Paulo
0-0
Botafogo
Luciano (50'), Welington (53'), Diego (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3')
Di Placido (2'), Tche (61')
Apr 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Botafogo
2-1
Sao Paulo
Tiquinho (4'), Eduardo (88')
Calleri (15')
Oct 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Sao Paulo
0-1
Botafogo
Tiquinho (90' pen.)
Jun 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 12
Botafogo
1-0
Sao Paulo
Kayque (61')
de Paula (35'), Kanu (38'), Saravia (51'), Carli (71'), Kayque (76'), Cuesta (83')

Patrick (45+4'), Calleri (56'), Arboleda (65')
Feb 22, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 37
Botafogo
1-0
Sao Paulo
Babi (58')
Navarro (38'), Otavio (50'), Nazario (85')

Alves (65'), Gomes (71'), Pablo (83'), Cezar (88'), Hernanes (88'), Pele (89')
Reinaldo (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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