Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Aug 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Sao Paulo0 - 1Fortaleza
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Flamengo
Thursday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | America Mineiro | 23 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Ceara | 24 | -1 | 27 |
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 21 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 21 at 10pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Ceara | 24 | -1 | 27 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 23 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 23 | -6 | 27 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Fortaleza |
50.35% ( -0.63) | 26.65% ( 0.75) | 23.01% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( -2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
