Brasileiro | Gameweek 24

Aug 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
0 - 1
Fortaleza

Reinaldo (58'), Patrick (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Capixaba (32')
Marcelo (28'), Miguel (51')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Flamengo
Thursday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	America Mineiro	23	-5	31
12	Sao Paulo	23	3	29
13	Ceara	24	-1	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Fortaleza
50.35% ( -0.63)	26.65% ( 0.75)	23.01% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 45.14% (

-2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.55% (

-2.74)

58.45% (

2.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.96% (

-2.19)

79.04% (

2.18)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

-1.44)

23.35% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

-2.13)

57.31% (

2.13)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.89% (

-1.67)

41.11% (

1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.35% (

-1.52)

77.65% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 50.34%

Fortaleza 23.01%

Draw 26.65%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.96% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.57% Total : 50.34%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.22% Total : 23.01%