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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
34.7% | 23.99% | 41.31% |
Both teams to score 61.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% | 41.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.46% | 63.54% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% | 23.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% | 57.45% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% | 20.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% | 52.42% |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.7% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.01% Total : 41.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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