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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Mainz logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Mainz 05

After suffering two defeats in Bochum last season, Mainz should be steeled for the challenge ahead, and having conceded only once throughout pre-season and last week's cup win, they can take a point home from their opening fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
43.51% (0.369 0.37) 25.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.23% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 55.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.111 -0.11)48.04% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.102 -0.1)70.21% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.127 0.13)22.05% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.189 0.19)55.38% (-0.186 -0.19)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.295 -0.3)28.87% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.366 -0.37)64.74% (0.367 0.37)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.51%
    Mainz 05 31.23%
    Draw 25.25%
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.23%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Mainz 05

VfL Bochum
38.5%
Draw
38.5%
Mainz 05
23.1%
39
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz 05
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
2-0
Mainz 05
Holtmann (21'), Polter (56')
Rexhbecaj (54'), Riemann (87'), Asano (90+3'), Zoller (90+4')

Boetius (56'), Barreiro (67'), Kohr (89')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Mainz 05
2-2
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum win 3-0 on penalties
Boetius (7'), Latza (55')
Mateta (90+4'), Ji (100')
Holtmann (66'), Tesche (90+4')
Gamboa (2'), Leitsch (32'), Blum (75')
Riemann (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern22174165194655
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen22138149272247
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2210753629737
5Freiburg2211382936-736
6Stuttgart2210574033735
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2210483532334
8Wolfsburg229674536933
9Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund228593738-129
12Augsburg227782435-1128
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2266102129-824
14St Pauli2263131825-721
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2235142146-2514
18Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113


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