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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
VfL Bochum

Augsburg
0 - 1
VfL Bochum


Berisha (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antwi-Adjej (58')
Osei-Tutu (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Augsburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 3-1 VfL Bochum

Despite their obvious lack of wins this season, Augsburg have shown plenty of attacking potential, and Demirovic, Niederlechner and Vargas will prove a handful for a Bochum team who have been on the end of some horrid results this campaign. There will likely be a tussle for control in the midfield, with neither team proving particularly adept at keeping the ball. However, the attacking penetration of Augsburg's forwards may prove the edge against Bochum, a side that have by and large struggled to get their attacking players into form this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for VfL Bochum in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawVfL Bochum
29.78% (-0.178 -0.18) 24.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 45.32% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (-0.115 -0.12)47.11% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-0.108 -0.11)69.35% (0.111 0.11)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.182 -0.18)29.38% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.224 -0.22)65.37% (0.226 0.23)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)20.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (0.042000000000002 0.04)53.52% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 29.79%
    VfL Bochum 45.32%
    Draw 24.89%
AugsburgDrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.79%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.32%

How you voted: Augsburg vs VfL Bochum

Augsburg
78.3%
Draw
15.2%
VfL Bochum
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
0-2
Augsburg

Gamboa (90+6')
Hahn (15'), Gregoritsch (43' pen.)
Dorsch (47'), Pedersen (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+6')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-3
VfL Bochum
Gregoritsch (57'), Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Polter (23', 45+2'), Holtmann (40')
Soares (36'), Rexhbecaj (87')
Oct 27, 2021 5.30pm
VfL Bochum
2-2
Augsburg
VfL Bochum win 5-4 on penalties
Pantovic (12', 53')
Polter (105')
Oxford (55'), Vargas (58')
Strobl (48'), Hahn (57'), Zeqiri (65'), Gregoritsch (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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