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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
68.84% (![]() | 17.09% (![]() | 14.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.93% (![]() | 31.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.53% (![]() | 52.47% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.79% (![]() | 8.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.27% (![]() | 28.72% (![]() |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% (![]() | 34.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% (![]() | 71.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.42% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 68.84% | 1-1 @ 7.54% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.09% | 1-2 @ 3.98% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 14.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |