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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
VfL Bochum

Dortmund
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)
Ozcan (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gamboa (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum

 We expect Dortmund to have far too much quality for Bochum, who have failed to register a single point on the road this season. Having conceded four goals in each of their last three away matches, the visitors may be content with keeping the scoreline as low as possible, while Terzic will be satisfied with any victory given his side's fixture pile-up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
68.84% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 17.09% (0.041 0.04) 14.07% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)8.21% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.27% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)28.72% (0.061 0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.13799999999999 0.14)34.8% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.144 0.14)71.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 68.84%
    VfL Bochum 14.07%
    Draw 17.09%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.3%
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 68.84%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.09%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.07%

How you voted: Dortmund vs VfL Bochum

Borussia Dortmund
91.9%
Draw
4.0%
VfL Bochum
4.0%
99
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Polter (40' pen.)
Brandt (85')
Schulz (57'), Hummels (58'), Zagadou (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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