Though there is a large divide between these two teams in terms of results this year, the potential for a goal-fest is very high between Union and Augsburg.
The fluid counter-attacking of Augsburg's formation, including an in-form Mergim Berisha, the rapidity of Jensen on the wings, and the intelligence of Demirovic and Niederlechner, could all help to exploit Union's aggression.
Such a result for Augsburg is contingent on Union's players showing the same lethargy they did at the weekend. The fixture list has been much kinder on Augsburg, and they may prove a tough opponent for Fischer's Union.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
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