Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
3 - 3
RB Leipzig

Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Berisha (22'), Demirovic (37'), Gruezo (60'), Iago (65'), Gouweleeuw (83'), Rexhbecaj (90+3')
Iago (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
Silva (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-5 Bayern
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 Hamburger SV
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-1 RB Leipzig

Should Augsburg be missing Nkunku and Werner from the start on Saturday, Augsburg will feel that they can take advantage of their opponents' minimised threat. The hosts have been in decent form of late despite losing their last two matches, and they have plenty of firepower themselves to test Leipzig's defensive unit. As such, we can envisage a repeat of last season's scoreline when these two sides met in Bavaria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 78.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
8.66% ( -0.3)	13.13% ( -0.34)	78.21% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 56.21% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.33% (

0.72)

26.67% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.93% (

0.91)

47.07% (

-0.91)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.44% (

-0.05)

40.56% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.84% (

-0.05)

77.16% (

0.05)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.56% (

0.25)

5.44% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.72% (

0.74)

21.28% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 8.66%

RB Leipzig 78.21%

Draw 13.13%

Augsburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 8.66%	1-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.13%	0-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.6% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 5.96% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 3.85% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.7% 1-5 @ 3.47% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 0-6 @ 1.87% ( 0.09) 1-6 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 2-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 5.36% Total : 78.21%