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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
3 - 0
Union Berlin

Kane (15' pen., 51'), Coman (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kemlein (31'), Khedira (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 2-0 Union Berlin

 Despite their impressive defensive record, it is difficult to see how Union Berlin can keep Bayern Munich from scoring on Saturday given the hosts' rampant offensive displays this season. If the visitors were to concede first, it would not be surprising if they struggled to create many chances given their poor showings in the final third this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
74.06% (-0.274 -0.27) 16.18% (0.182 0.18) 9.75% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.17% (-0.585 -0.59)38.83% (0.581 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)61.14% (0.615 0.62)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)8.99% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.34% (-0.499 -0.5)30.66% (0.495 0.5)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.84% (-0.212 -0.21)47.16% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.39% (-0.162 -0.16)82.6% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.05%
    Union Berlin 9.75%
    Draw 16.18%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 12.3% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 9.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.47% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 74.05%
1-1 @ 7.68% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 16.18%
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.89% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 9.75%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
87.1%
Draw
9.4%
Union Berlin
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Union Berlin
1-5
Bayern
Vertessen (90')
Bjelica (45+1')
Goretzka (29'), Kane (45+1'), Muller (53', 66'), Tel (61')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bayern
1-0
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (46')
Sane (74'), Kane (90+5')

Behrens (48'), Haberer (90+5'), Vogt (90+5'), Leite (90+5')
Bjelica (74')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 22
Bayern
3-0
Union Berlin
Maxim Choupo-Moting (31'), Coman (40'), Musiala (45+1')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Becker (12')
Khedira (87')
Kimmich (15')
Kimmich (26'), Gravenberch (72')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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