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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 89.52%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 3.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.17%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | VfL Bochum |
89.52% ( 0.04) | 7.13% ( -0.03) | 3.35% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.5% ( 0.04) | 18.5% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
64.07% ( 0.06) | 35.92% ( -0.06) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.54% ( 0.01) | 2.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.42% ( 0.04) | 11.58% ( -0.04) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.19% ( -0.04) | 49.81% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.47% ( -0.03) | 84.52% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | VfL Bochum |
3-0 @ 10.38% 4-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.71% 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 7-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 8-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 4.5% Total : 89.51% | 1-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 7.13% | 1-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 3.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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