Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Bayern

Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 4-4 Salzburg
Friday, January 13 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayern Munich

On the return of German football, this has the potential to be one of the games of the season, but both sides have injury worries concerning some very important players. Bayern often have the edge over Leipzig having only lost to them once since the Red Bull-owned club were promoted in 2016, and a win here would be huge for their title credentials. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-3 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
18.11% ( -0.51)	18.96% ( 0.65)	62.93% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 62.52% (

-3.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.02% (

-4.21)

31.97% (

4.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.46% (

-5.08)

53.53% (

5.08)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

-3.13)

30.7% (

3.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

-3.85)

66.96% (

3.85)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.22% (

-1.22)

9.77% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.49% (

-2.91)

32.5% (

2.9)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 18.11%

Bayern Munich 62.93%

Draw 18.96%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.47% Total : 18.11%	1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.64) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.96%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.98) 1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 1.18) 0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.43) 1-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.27) 0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.28) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.74% Total : 62.93%