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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-3 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayern Munich |
18.11% ( -0.51) | 18.96% ( 0.65) | 62.93% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 62.52% ( -3.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.02% ( -4.21) | 31.97% ( 4.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.46% ( -5.08) | 53.53% ( 5.08) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% ( -3.13) | 30.7% ( 3.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.04% ( -3.85) | 66.96% ( 3.85) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.22% ( -1.22) | 9.77% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.49% ( -2.91) | 32.5% ( 2.9) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.47% Total : 18.11% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.64) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.96% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.98) 1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 1.18) 0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.43) 1-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.27) 0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.28) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.74% Total : 62.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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