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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Bayern
6 - 1
Werder Bremen

Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Jung (10')

The Match

Match Report

Serge Gnabry scores a hat-trick as Bayern Munich move four points clear at the top of the Bundesliga courtesy of a 6-1 drubbing of Werder Bremen.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
80.79% (-1.609 -1.61) 11.89% (0.987 0.99) 7.32% (0.6291 0.63)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-1.307 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.74% (-2.884 -2.88)25.26% (2.892 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.75% (-3.849 -3.85)45.25% (3.857 3.86)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.25% (-0.759 -0.76)4.75% (0.7671 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.78% (-2.393 -2.39)19.22% (2.401 2.4)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53% (-0.902 -0.9)42.47% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16% (-0.785 -0.79)78.84% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 80.79%
    Werder Bremen 7.32%
    Draw 11.89%
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
3-0 @ 9.51% (0.274 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.765 0.76)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.47 0.47)
4-0 @ 7.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 6.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-0 @ 6.15% (0.81 0.81)
5-0 @ 4.42% (-0.382 -0.38)
5-1 @ 3.78% (-0.431 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.213 -0.21)
6-0 @ 2.24% (-0.335 -0.34)
6-1 @ 1.92% (-0.342 -0.34)
5-2 @ 1.62% (-0.23 -0.23)
7-0 @ 0.98% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 5.05%
Total : 80.79%
1-1 @ 5.26% (0.579 0.58)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.02% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 11.89%
1-2 @ 2.25% (0.197 0.2)
0-1 @ 1.73% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 7.32%

How you voted: Bayern vs Werder Bremen

Bayern Munich
88.4%
Draw
5.8%
Werder Bremen
5.8%
172
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2019 7.45pm
Werder Bremen
2-3
Bayern
Osako (74'), Rashica (75')
Klaassen (25'), Kruse (84')
Lewandowski (36', 80'), Muller (63')
Hummels (26'), Rodriguez (84'), Lewandowski (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
11Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
12Werder Bremen412148-45
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim4103611-53
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


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