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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Bayern logo

Schalke
0 - 2
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 1-0 Mainz
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 0-3 Bayern Munich

We expect a comfortable victory for Bayern, who may take their foot off the gas later in the game given the amount of players that they are set to have involved at the World Cup. Schalke secured all three points in what felt like a must-win game for them against Mainz in midweek, but they are likely to fall significantly short on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawBayern Munich
7.7% (0.944 0.94) 10.75% (1.287 1.29) 81.55% (-2.229 -2.23)
Both teams to score 64% (-2.094 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.11% (-3.435 -3.44)16.88% (3.437 3.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.48% (-5.393 -5.39)33.51% (5.396 5.4)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-1.599 -1.6)33.92% (1.603 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4% (-1.768 -1.77)70.6% (1.77 1.77)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.86% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)3.14% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86% (-2.899 -2.9)14% (2.9 2.9)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 7.7%
    Bayern Munich 81.55%
    Draw 10.75%
Schalke 04DrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.15% (0.346 0.35)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.065 0.07)
1-0 @ 1.15% (0.299 0.3)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 7.7%
1-1 @ 3.98% (0.783 0.78)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.33 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 1.06% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 10.75%
1-3 @ 7.96% (0.422 0.42)
0-3 @ 7.36% (0.688 0.69)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.881 0.88)
1-4 @ 6.89% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.38% (1.053 1.05)
0-4 @ 6.37% (0.102 0.1)
1-5 @ 4.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
0-5 @ 4.41% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 4.3% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 3.72% (-0.275 -0.28)
0-1 @ 3.68% (0.851 0.85)
1-6 @ 2.75% (-0.581 -0.58)
2-5 @ 2.58% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-6 @ 2.54% (-0.406 -0.41)
2-6 @ 1.49% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-7 @ 1.36% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-4 @ 1.34% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-7 @ 1.26% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-5 @ 0.93% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 81.55%

How you voted: Schalke vs Bayern

Schalke 04
11.8%
Draw
2.9%
Bayern Munich
85.3%
68
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2021 2.30pm
Schalke
0-4
Bayern

Nastasic (80')
Muller (33', 88'), Lewandowski (54'), Alaba (90')
Boateng (84')
Sep 18, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
8-0
Schalke
Gnabry (4', 47', 59'), Goretzka (19'), Lewandowski (31' pen.), Muller (70'), Sane (71'), Musiala (81')
Kimmich (65')

Kabak (30'), Stambouli (81')
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
Aug 24, 2019 5.30pm
Schalke
0-3
Bayern
Lewandowski (20' pen., 50', 75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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