Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
7 - 0
VfL Bochum

Maxim Choupo-Moting (4'), Kane (12', 54' pen., 88'), de Ligt (29'), Sane (38'), Tel (81')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Losilla (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 VfL Bochum

Bayern will be regarded as strong favourites to claim all three points on Saturday, and their in-form attackers should have plenty of joy in the final third against a Bochum side who have already conceded seven goals in two away games this term. The hosts have shown their own signs of defensive frailties this season, conceding seven goals in their last four matches, but Tuchel's men should ultimately have too much quality for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	VfL Bochum
69.58% ( 0.02)	17.39% ( -0.02)	13.03% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.8% (

0.08)

35.19% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.79% (

0.09)

57.2% (

-0.09)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89% (

0.02)

9.1% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.08% (

0.06)

30.92% (

-0.07)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98% (

0.05)

39.02% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26% (

0.04)

75.74% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 69.57%

VfL Bochum 13.03%

Draw 17.39%

Bayern Munich	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 69.57%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.39%	1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 13.03%