MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:39:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

All but ending the closest Bundesliga title race in 13 years, Bayern are set to sweep aside Leipzig; leaving the pressure piled on Dortmund. At their fluent best against Schalke, the champions may be stepping up in class this week, but such are their attacking riches they can tame the Red Bulls once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
66.88% (-0.304 -0.3) 16.77% (0.124 0.12) 16.34% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 67.5% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.72% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)24.28% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.03% (-0.362 -0.36)43.96% (0.361 0.36)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.13% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)6.87% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.73% (-0.337 -0.34)25.26% (0.335 0.34)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 66.88%
    RB Leipzig 16.34%
    Draw 16.77%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.23% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.8% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 6.53% (0.075 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 2.44% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 16.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
71.7%
Draw
17.4%
RB Leipzig
10.9%
92
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
1-4
Bayern
Laimer (58')
Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-1
Bayern

Mukiele (26'), Sabitzer (37'), Upamecano (61')
Goretzka (38')
Kimmich (33'), Hernandez (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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