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Bayern logo
DFL-Supercup | Final
Aug 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Olmo (3', 44', 68' pen.)
Olmo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFL-Supercup clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Monaco
Monday, August 7 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, June 3 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

 Although both sides may not be at their free-flowing best due to some injury issues and having to accommodate several new faces, we expect to see another entertaining DFL-Supercup between these two teams on Saturday. However, although they are lacking in squad depth compared to recent years, Bayern's starting XI remains formidable and they should have too much attacking potency for Leipzig once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
47.49% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 21.43% (-0.012 -0.01) 31.08% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 69.3% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.14% (0.037000000000006 0.04)29.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.97% (0.043999999999997 0.04)51.03% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (0.042000000000002 0.04)13.32% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (0.078000000000003 0.08)40.17% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)20.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)52.26% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 47.49%
    RB Leipzig 31.08%
    Draw 21.43%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 47.49%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
86.0%
Draw
9.3%
RB Leipzig
4.7%
43
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
RB Leipzig
1-4
Bayern
Laimer (58')
Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')
> Preview
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