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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Bayern logo

FC Koln
1 - 2
Bayern

Ljubicic (81' pen.)
Schmitz (24'), Ljubicic (81'), Thielmann (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coman (8'), Musiala (89')

The Match

Match Report

Bayern Munich pip Borussia Dortmund to an 11th-successive Bundesliga title on an incredible final day which saw the lead change hands for the final time in the 89th minute.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
32.59% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 22.09% (0.0020000000000024 0) 45.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 67.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.53% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)32.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)52.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.48% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)43.52% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 32.59%
    Bayern Munich 45.31%
    Draw 22.09%
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.45%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.59%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.08%
3-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.1%
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 45.31%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Bayern

FC Koln
13.8%
Draw
17.2%
Bayern Munich
69.0%
58
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 17
Bayern
1-1
FC Koln
Kimmich (90')
Skhiri (4')
Huseinbasic (12')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 19
FC Koln
0-4
Bayern

Kilian (9')
Lewandowski (9', 62', 74'), Tolisso (25')
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 2
Bayern
3-2
FC Koln
Lewandowski (50'), Gnabry (59', 71')
Sule (76')
Modeste (60'), Uth (62')
Ljubicic (20')
Feb 27, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 23
Bayern
5-1
FC Koln
Maxim Choupo-Moting (18'), Lewandowski (33', 65'), Gnabry (82', 86')
Alaba (22'), Sane (45+1')
Skhiri (49')
Czichos (45')
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 6
FC Koln
1-2
Bayern
Drexler (82')
Wolf (89')
Muller (13' pen.), Gnabry (45+1')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (10'), Pavard (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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