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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Bayern logo

Borussia M'bach
1 - 2
Bayern

Itakura (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sane (58'), Tel (87')
Mazraoui (22'), Coman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 0-4 Bayern Munich

Having finished outside the top half in each of the last two seasons, Gladbach appear to be a club in decline, especially with their amount of injuries at present. As such, we believe that their unbeaten record against Bayern will come to a convincing end on Saturday, with Kane likely to be licking his lips at the prospect of adding to his impressive goalscoring tally already. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.19%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 20.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-3 (7.1%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
20.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 19.85% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 59.19% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 64.4% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.21% (0.2 0.2)31.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.68% (0.236 0.24)53.32% (-0.235 -0.23)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.104 0.1)27.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (0.13 0.13)63.55% (-0.132 -0.13)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.64% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.51% (0.172 0.17)34.49% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 20.97%
    Bayern Munich 59.19%
    Draw 19.85%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 20.97%
1-1 @ 8.49% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.46% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.53% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.98% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.78% (0.015 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 59.19%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Bayern

Borussia Monchengladbach
16.7%
Draw
10.6%
Bayern Munich
72.7%
66
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Borussia M'bach
3-2
Bayern
Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Sane (83')
Kimmich (63'), Sabitzer (64'), Sane (80'), Nagelsmann (81'), Pavard (90+5')
Thuram (43')
Plea (37'), Kramer (90+5')
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-2
Borussia M'bach
Neuhaus (27'), Lainer (31')
Stindl (78')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Borussia M'bach
5-0
Bayern
Kone (2'), Bensebaini (15', 21' pen.), Embolo (51', 57')
Zakaria (79')

Upamecano (46')
Aug 13, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Bayern
Plea (10')
Stindl (57'), Hutter (86'), Neuhaus (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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