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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
65.82% ( -0.08) | 18.17% ( 0.04) | 16.01% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.81% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.9% ( -0.07) | 32.1% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.32% ( -0.08) | 53.68% ( 0.08) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.86% ( -0.03) | 9.14% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.99% ( -0.09) | 31.01% ( 0.09) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.93% ( 0.01) | 33.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.33% ( 0.01) | 69.67% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 65.82% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 16.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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