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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Wolfsburg

Dortmund
6 - 0
Wolfsburg

Adeyemi (14', 59'), Haller (28'), Malen (37'), Bellingham (54', 86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Fischer (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Mainz
Sunday, April 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Wolfsburg

This season, 20 of Borussia Dortmund's 30 league games have produced at least three goals, while Wolfsburg have scored eight goals across their past two matches. With that in mind, we can see Dortmund and Wolfsburg dishing up a high-scoring thriller on Sunday, with the hosts expected to outscore the visitors to keep their title dreams alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
60.28% (0.017999999999994 0.02) 20.7% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 19.01%
Both teams to score 57.74% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.07% (0.106 0.11)38.93% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.75% (0.111 0.11)61.25% (-0.116 -0.12)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (0.037000000000006 0.04)12.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (0.082999999999998 0.08)38.58% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (0.061999999999998 0.06)33.97% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (0.07 0.07)70.65% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 60.28%
    Wolfsburg 19.01%
    Draw 20.7%
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.56% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 60.28%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 5.16%
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 19.01%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund
81.5%
Draw
9.8%
Wolfsburg
8.7%
92
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
Nmecha (45+1')
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 30
Dortmund
6-1
Wolfsburg
Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')
Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 13
Wolfsburg
1-3
Dortmund
Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
0-2
Dortmund

Otavio (72')
Braut Haaland (12', 68')
Bellingham (13'), Meunier (88')
Bellingham (59')
Jan 3, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-0
Wolfsburg
Akanji (66'), Sancho (90+1')
Hummels (25'), Delaney (40'), Braut Haaland (80')

Steffen (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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