MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:12:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Dortmund logo

Augsburg
0 - 3
Dortmund


Beljo (42'), Gouweleeuw (69'), Demirovic (73')
Uduokhai (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Haller (58', 84'), Brandt (90+3')
Can (47'), Adeyemi (69'), Wolf (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Augsburg
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last Game: Dortmund 5-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

 Both teams' outlook on this fixture will be hugely affected by results elsewhere across Friday and Saturday, with Augsburg set to discover whether they may require any more points in order to survive. Dortmund, meanwhile, will know whether they can return to the top of the table by beating Augsburg after watching Bayern take on Leipzig less than 24 hours prior, but either way we expect them to have too much quality for their hampered opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
19.46% (-0.16 -0.16) 20.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 60.07% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.4% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (-0.37 -0.37)37.13% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.67% (-0.401 -0.4)59.33% (0.405 0.41)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.378 -0.38)32.46% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (-0.428 -0.43)68.99% (0.432 0.43)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)12.05% (0.077 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.45% (-0.162 -0.16)37.55% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 19.46%
    Borussia Dortmund 60.07%
    Draw 20.47%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.4% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 19.46%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.76% (0.106 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 6.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.18% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 60.07%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Dortmund

Augsburg
13.7%
Draw
11.8%
Borussia Dortmund
74.5%
51
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Dortmund
4-3
Augsburg
Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Bellingham (84')
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Pedersen (45'), Cardona (54'), Jensen (69'), Engels (90+2')
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 24
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-1
Augsburg
Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')
Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 19
Dortmund
3-1
Augsburg
Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 2
Augsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Uduokhai (40'), Caligiuri (54')
Gregoritsch (29'), Khedira (30'), Gouweleeuw (31')

Braut Haaland (30'), Meunier (38'), Witsel (71'), Can (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!