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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | VfL Bochum |
61.17% ( 0.58) | 20.82% ( -0.21) | 18% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% ( 0.36) | 41.14% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.46% ( 0.37) | 63.53% ( -0.37) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( 0.28) | 12.98% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.51% ( 0.58) | 39.48% ( -0.58) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.63% ( -0.2) | 36.37% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.84% ( -0.2) | 73.16% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.41% Total : 61.17% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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