Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 16, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
1 - 1
VfL Bochum

Juranovic (45+3')
Jaeckel (50')
Jaeckel (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stoger (55' pen.)
Osterhage (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-3 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 VfL Bochum

Union Berlin will be determined not to allow a couple of defeats to two of the Bundesliga's strongest teams potentially ruin their strong work throughout the season, and we expect a highly motivated performance from the hosts as a result. Bochum have struggled to attain positive results on the road all season long and we do not expect Sunday's trip to the capital to be any different, with Letsch's side likely to be looking even more nervously over their shoulders given that Hertha Berlin and Schalke 04 face each other on Friday evening and will therefore close the gap one way or another. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	VfL Bochum
68.48% ( 0.24)	19.29% ( -0.04)	12.23% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 46.14% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

-0.33)

46.1% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

-0.31)

68.4% (

0.31)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.6% (

-0.03)

12.4% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.72% (

-0.06)

38.28% (

0.06)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.66% (

-0.54)

47.33% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.26% (

-0.41)

82.74% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 68.47%

VfL Bochum 12.23%

Draw 19.29%

Union Berlin	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 68.47%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.69% Total : 19.29%	0-1 @ 4.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 12.23%