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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Stuttgart
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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Guirassy (22'), Coulibaly (83' pen.)
Zagadou (77'), Karazor (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weigl (78' pen.)
Weigl (45+1'), Lainer (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Although Gladbach clearly possess some talented players at their disposal, Stuttgart could hardly have asked for a more winnable fixture as they desperately seek to avoid finishing in the bottom three positions. Die Fohlen have been wretched on the road all season long and have very little beyond personal pride to play for at this stage of the season, so we expect Hoeness's improved outfit to claim all three points ahead of their cup semi-final tie in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
56% (0.35 0.35) 21.69% (-0.055 -0.05) 22.31% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.6% (-0.225 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (-0.11 -0.11)38.92% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)61.24% (0.119 0.12)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.18% (0.067999999999998 0.07)13.81% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.84% (0.139 0.14)41.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (-0.316 -0.32)30.84% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (-0.375 -0.38)67.12% (0.375 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 56%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 22.31%
    Draw 21.69%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.48% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 22.31%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Borussia M'bach

Stuttgart
64.0%
Draw
4.0%
Borussia Monchengladbach
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 13
Borussia M'bach
3-1
Stuttgart
Hofmann (4'), Thuram (25'), Herrmann (90+4')
Bensebaini (17')
Tomas (35')
Mar 5, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 25
Stuttgart
3-2
Borussia M'bach
Endo (38'), Fuhrich (51'), Kalajdzic (83')
Anton (54')
Plea (14'), Thuram (35')
Bensebaini (27'), Scally (81')
Oct 16, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Stuttgart
Hofmann (42')
Kone (63'), Herrmann (80'), Bennetts (82')
Mavropanos (15')
Karazor (45+1'), Fuhrich (64'), Kempf (88')
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 33
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Stuttgart
Stindl (45')
Bensebaini (86'), Zakaria (89')
Endo (72'), Kalajdzic (77')
Forster (64'), Massimo (84'), Castro (89'), Endo (90+3')
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Stuttgart
1-2
Borussia M'bach
Wamangituka (2')
Mavropanos (18'), Gonzalez (81'), Anton (90+3')
Thuram (45+1'), Plea (50')
Bensebaini (22'), Stindl (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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