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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
58.4% ( -0.05) | 21.35% ( 0.02) | 20.24% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% ( -0.05) | 40.09% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( -0.05) | 62.46% ( 0.05) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( -0.03) | 13.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.52% ( -0.06) | 40.47% ( 0.05) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( -0.01) | 33.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( -0) | 70.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.04% 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 58.4% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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