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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Wolfsburg |
43.27% ( 0.22) | 24.18% ( 0.16) | 32.55% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.33% ( -0.89) | 42.67% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.93% ( -0.89) | 65.07% ( 0.89) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.09% ( -0.27) | 19.9% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.96% ( -0.44) | 52.04% ( 0.44) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% ( -0.65) | 25.41% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% ( -0.91) | 60.21% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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