Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
5 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Kamada (45+5' pen., 72' pen.), Kolo (58'), Lindstrom (65'), Alario (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hincapie (56')
Andrich (11'), Hincapie (42'), Tapsoba (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Frankfurt
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Porto
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

We can envisage Frankfurt's defensive injuries causing them major problems on Saturday, with Leverkusen likely to be expose their opponents' weaknesses in transition. While the visitors suffered a setback against Porto in midweek, they were clinical in Alonso's first game in charge against Schalke last week, and will be confident of going on a decent domestic run under the Spaniard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
44.34% ( 0.04)	24.97% ( -0.02)	30.69% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.99% (

0.08)

47% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75% (

0.07)

69.25% (

-0.08)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

0.05)

21.23% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

0.08)

54.13% (

-0.09)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28% (

0.02)

28.72% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45% (

0.03)

64.54% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 44.34%

Bayer Leverkusen 30.69%

Draw 24.96%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.34%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.69%