Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Schalke

Diaby (38'), Frimpong (41', 53'), Paulinho (90')
Hincapie (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Yoshida (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 2-3 Augsburg
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Schalke 04

We expect Leverkusen to put their recent woes behind them to some extent by claiming a second league win of the season on Saturday, especially with a new manager to impress. Schalke look set for a long, difficult season ahead of them and there is little doubting the hosts' superiority in terms of their individual abilities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Schalke 04
60.1% ( -0.01)	20.65% ( 0)	19.24% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.36% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.69% (

-0)

38.31% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.4% (

-0)

60.59% (

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

-0)

12.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.7% (

-0)

38.29% (

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63%

33.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

69.99% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 60.1%

Schalke 04 19.24%

Draw 20.65%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 60.1%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.65%	1-2 @ 5.2% 0-1 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.24%