Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
0 - 1
Frankfurt

Under (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lindstrom (43')
Hasebe (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Marseille and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	7	21	19
2	Marseille	7	11	19
3	Lens	7	9	17

Eintracht Frankfurt

Last Six:

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	RB Leipzig	6	0	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	-1	8
12	Schalke 04	6	-5	6

We said: Marseille 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

The hosts are on an excellent winning streak in Ligue 1 and we can envisage them getting their Champions League campaign up and running with a win here. Frankfurt remain an incredibly inconsistent side, with injuries disrupting their balance at present, and they may struggle to impose themselves away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
41.11% ( -0.01)	24.97% ( -0.04)	33.93% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.41% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.09% (

0.2)

45.91% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.78% (

0.19)

68.22% (

-0.19)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

0.08)

22.28% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

0.12)

55.73% (

-0.12)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

0.13)

26.13% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

0.17)

61.2% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Marseille 41.11%

Eintracht Frankfurt 33.93%

Draw 24.97%

Marseille	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 33.93%