MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 19:58:09| >> :600:406445:406445:
Marseille
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Marseille
0 - 1
Frankfurt


Under (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lindstrom (43')
Hasebe (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Marseille and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Marseille 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

The hosts are on an excellent winning streak in Ligue 1 and we can envisage them getting their Champions League campaign up and running with a win here. Frankfurt remain an incredibly inconsistent side, with injuries disrupting their balance at present, and they may struggle to impose themselves away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawEintracht Frankfurt
41.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.97% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 33.93% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09% (0.201 0.2)45.91% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78% (0.192 0.19)68.22% (-0.188 -0.19)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.084999999999994 0.08)22.28% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.124 0.12)55.73% (-0.121 -0.12)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (0.13000000000001 0.13)26.13% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (0.171 0.17)61.2% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 41.11%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 33.93%
    Draw 24.97%
MarseilleDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 41.11%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 33.93%

How you voted: Marseille vs Frankfurt

Marseille
78.5%
Draw
10.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.6%
303
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2018 8pm
Group H
Frankfurt
4-0
Marseille
Jovic (2', 67'), Gustavo (17' og.), Sarr (62' og.)
Fernandes (33'), Kostic (90')

Gustavo (71')
Sep 20, 2018 5.55pm
Group H
Marseille
1-2
Frankfurt
Ocampos (3')
Torro (52'), Jovic (89')
Willems (16')
Willems (59')
rhs 2.0
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