MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 03:21:51| >> :60:77:77:
Porto
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Leverkusen logo

Porto
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Sanusi (69'), Galeno (87')
Mario (50'), Uribe (61'), Carmo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hincapie (40'), Frimpong (52'), Andrich (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Braga
Friday, September 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Porto and Bayer Leverkusen will both be desperate to come flying out of the blocks and claim a result that could change the landscape of Champions League Group B. Ultimately, the two sides will be inseparable on Tuesday evening in a game of fine margins. With both teams being able to call on plenty of talented attackers to influence proceedings, a score draw is the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBayer Leverkusen
49.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 23.11% (0.004999999999999 0) 27.26% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.36%40.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.43% (-0.012 -0.01)16.57% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)27.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (0.023999999999994 0.02)63.45% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Porto 49.62%
    Bayer Leverkusen 27.26%
    Draw 23.11%
PortoDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 49.62%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 27.26%

How you voted: Porto vs B. Leverkusen

Porto
58.1%
Draw
22.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
19.5%
277
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2020 5.55pm
Porto
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Marega (65')
Luis (33'), Oliveira (36'), Uribe (42'), Marcano (54'), Nakajima (76'), Leite (82'), Pepe (82')
Tiquinho (85')
Alario (10'), Demirbay (50'), Havertz (58')
Bender (43'), Demirbay (67'), Weiser (69'), Amiri (82')
Feb 20, 2020 8pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Porto
Alario (29'), Havertz (57' pen.)
Demirbay (66')
Diaz (73')
Corona (26'), Manafa (54'), Uribe (58'), Nakajima (88'), Marcano (90')
rhs 2.0
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