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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Werder Bremen

Friedl (7' og.), Kolo (52')
Max (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stark (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Werder Bremen

This should be an entertaining match between two teams who prefer to attack than defend, but Frankfurt should have enough quality to secure all three points with home advantage on their side. Werder's leaky defence is likely to prove accommodating to the burgeoning presence of Randal Kolo Muani, with himself and Niclas Fullkrug both enjoying growing reputations after enjoying superb individual World Cup campaigns with France and Germany respectively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawWerder Bremen
57.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.36% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 21.17% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (0.032999999999994 0.03)38.86% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (0.035999999999994 0.04)61.18% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.23% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)31.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)68.26% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 57.46%
    Werder Bremen 21.17%
    Draw 21.36%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62%
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 57.46%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen

Eintracht Frankfurt
77.3%
Draw
13.6%
Werder Bremen
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 4.30pm
Werder Bremen
3-4
Frankfurt
Jung (14'), Bittencourt (17'), Fullkrug (90+2' pen.)
Pieper (33')
Gotze (2'), Kolo (32'), Lindstrom (39'), Sow (48')
Trapp (75'), Sow (90+3'), Glasner (90+4'), Knauff (90+6')
Feb 26, 2021 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-1
Frankfurt
Gebre Selassie (47'), Sargent (62')
Gebre Selassie (35'), Schmid (78'), Friedl (81'), Mohwald (81')
Silva (9')
Rode (40'), Younes (81'), Hutter (90'), Tuta (90+2')
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
Frankfurt
1-1
Werder Bremen
Silva (65')
Ilsanker (4')
Sargent (51')
Mbom (45+2'), Sargent (55'), Osako (90+3')
Jun 3, 2020 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Frankfurt
2-0
Werder Bremen
Silva (45' pen.), Kamada (60')
Abraham (34'), Hinteregger (80')
Kostic (90')

Bittencourt (45'), Selke (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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