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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
23.82% ( 0.1) | 21.65% ( -0.02) | 54.53% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.8% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.07% ( 0.19) | 36.93% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.89% ( 0.21) | 59.11% ( -0.2) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( 0.18) | 28.47% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( 0.23) | 64.24% ( -0.22) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( 0.05) | 13.6% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.27% ( 0.09) | 40.74% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 23.82% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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