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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Dortmund logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Dortmund


Bittencourt (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bynoe-Gittens (67'), Brandt (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Werder Bremen 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

 Only Schalke and Bochum have conceded more goals than Werder so far this season, but there is little doubt that Werner's side possess a potent threat in attack. As such, we can envisage a highly-entertaining encounter at Weserstadion, with Dortmund potentially coming out on top to win their fifth consecutive league game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
15.83% (0.382 0.38) 17.64% (0.284 0.28) 66.52% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 62.48% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (-0.628 -0.63)29.84% (0.63 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49% (-0.764 -0.76)51% (0.765 0.77)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.025000000000006 0.03)31.8% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)8.38% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)29.16% (0.759 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.83%
    Borussia Dortmund 66.52%
    Draw 17.64%
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.34% (0.097 0.1)
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.75% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 15.83%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.095 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.64%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 6.77% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 4.81% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.2% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-5 @ 2.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-5 @ 2.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-6 @ 0.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 66.52%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Dortmund

Werder Bremen
10.9%
Draw
2.2%
Borussia Dortmund
87.0%
46
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Werder Bremen
Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
4-1
Werder Bremen
Reyna (29'), Braut Haaland (34' pen., 38'), Hummels (87')
Dahoud (48')
Rashica (14')
Friedl (60'), Veljkovic (66'), Gross (77'), Moisander (85')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-2
Dortmund
Zagadou (52'), Braut Haaland (66')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Werder Bremen
3-2
Dortmund
Selke (16'), Bittencourt (30'), Rashica (70')
Bittencourt (23'), Moisander (85')
Braut Haaland (67'), Reyna (78')
Schulz (49'), Reus (64'), Reyna (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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