Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
We said: Freiburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg could play with a less expansive style than usual after their heavy defeat at the weekend, with both teams potentially cancelling each other out as a result.
Moreover, with so much at stake in terms of influencing the top-four race, neither manager will want to lose ground on each other in the table, so a share of the spoils seems the most likely outcome on Wednesday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.92% . A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.29%) . The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Freiburg Draw Eintracht Frankfurt 40.92% ( -0.29) 24.53% ( 0.09) 34.55% ( 0.21)
Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.26)
56.23% ( -0.36) 43.77% ( 0.36)
33.84% ( -0.35) 66.15% ( 0.35)
78.56% ( -0.29) 21.44% ( 0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.54% ( -0.45) 54.46% ( 0.45)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
75.25% ( -0.05) 24.75% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.69% ( -0.07) 59.31% ( 0.07)
Freiburg 40.92%
Eintracht Frankfurt 34.55%
Draw 24.53%
Freiburg Draw Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.92% 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.55%
How you voted: Freiburg vs Frankfurt
Freiburg
Draw
Eintracht Frankfurt
117
rhs 2.0
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