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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Freiburg
1 - 1
Frankfurt

Ginter (47')
Eggestein (23'), Hofler (58'), Keitel (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kolo (42')
Kamada (22'), N'Dicka (59'), Lindstrom (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Freiburg could play with a less expansive style than usual after their heavy defeat at the weekend, with both teams potentially cancelling each other out as a result. Moreover, with so much at stake in terms of influencing the top-four race, neither manager will want to lose ground on each other in the table, so a share of the spoils seems the most likely outcome on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawEintracht Frankfurt
40.92% (-0.291 -0.29) 24.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 34.55% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.23% (-0.359 -0.36)43.77% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.84% (-0.353 -0.35)66.15% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)21.44% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)54.46% (0.45 0.45)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)24.75% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)59.31% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 40.92%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 34.55%
    Draw 24.53%
FreiburgDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.55%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Frankfurt

Freiburg
25.6%
Draw
35.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
39.3%
117
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 4.30pm
Frankfurt
1-2
Freiburg
Kostic (54')
Hinteregger (45+4')
Grifo (27'), Petersen (69')
Demirovic (45+4'), Lienhart (83')
Nov 21, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
0-2
Frankfurt
Lindstrom (34'), Kostic (43')
Chandler (49'), Tuta (53'), Toure (69'), Trapp (73')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Frankfurt
3-1
Freiburg
Silva (62' pen.), Toure (87'), Ache (90+2')
Hrustic (36')
Woo-yeong (77')
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Frankfurt
Sallai (32'), Petersen (63')
Holer (53'), Demirovic (65'), Gulde (90+1')
Younes (6'), Schlotterbeck (76' og.)
Barkok (40'), Tuta (65'), Jovic (90+1')
May 26, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2RB Leipzig532082611
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
4Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
5Heidenheim530210739
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt43017439
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
11Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
12Werder Bremen412148-45
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim4103611-53
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel4013513-81


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