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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
57.1% ( 0.07) | 22.26% ( -0.01) | 20.64% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.31% ( -0.01) | 43.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.92% ( -0.02) | 66.08% ( 0.01) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.92% ( 0.02) | 15.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.4% ( 0.03) | 43.6% ( -0.03) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.91% ( -0.06) | 35.09% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.16% ( -0.06) | 71.84% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
1-0 @ 10% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.09% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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