Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Feb 5, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stuttgart
0 - 2
Werder Bremen

Anton (13'), Nartey (40')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stage (59'), Ducksch (77')
Schmidt (38'), Pieper (65'), Friedl (69'), Bittencourt (75'), Stage (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen

Both sides have struggled to keep clean sheets this season but are comfortably averaging more than a goal per game at the other end, so we expect both teams to score on Sunday. With the exception of Fullkrug in the visitors' attack, there is little to split the two sides in terms of individual quality, so we can envisage a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Werder Bremen
53.9% ( 0.55)	22.75% ( -0.05)	23.34% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 57.28% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.37% (

-0.28)

42.62% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

-0.28)

65.03% (

0.28)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22% (

0.09)

15.78% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.09% (

0.16)

44.91% (

-0.16)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.01% (

-0.58)

31.99% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54% (

-0.66)

68.45% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 53.9%

Werder Bremen 23.34%

Draw 22.75%

Stuttgart	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.9%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 23.34%