Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
VfL Bochum2 - 2Mainz
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Bayern
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Mainz 05
Even at this early stage of the campaign, this meeting has all the makings of a relegation dogfight, with both teams winless across their opening eight games apiece. As such, there is likely to be plenty of nerves and a lack of quality on display, with both managers scared to see their team fall to defeat. We can envisage a low-scoring draw as a result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
37.24% ( 0.11) | 22.91% ( -0.03) | 39.85% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 65.67% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
