MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:32:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
VfL Bochum

Freiburg
2 - 1
VfL Bochum

Doan (26'), Grifo (45+2' pen.)
Gulde (23'), Grifo (29'), Eggestein (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Paciencia (15')
Antwi-Adjej (31'), Schlotterbeck (52'), Gamboa (63'), Riemann (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-0 VfL Bochum

These two sides have only scored 12 goals combined across their seven league games apiece so far this season, so it is difficult to envisage either goalkeeper enduring particularly busy afternoons. Bochum showed they are capable of resisting pressure when claiming an unlikely point away to Leipzig in their last match, but we expect Freiburg to edge a narrow encounter and return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
58.54% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 21.75% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 19.71% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.35% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.33% (-0.218 -0.22)42.67% (0.221 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)65.07% (0.22099999999999 0.22)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)14.27% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)42.05% (0.163 0.16)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (-0.139 -0.14)35.44% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.145 -0.15)72.2% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 58.54%
    VfL Bochum 19.71%
    Draw 21.74%
FreiburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 58.54%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 19.71%

How you voted: Freiburg vs VfL Bochum

Freiburg
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
VfL Bochum
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 26, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-0
VfL Bochum
Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
3-0
VfL Bochum
Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
VfL Bochum
1-2
Freiburg
Polter (64')
Polter (117')
Petersen (51'), Sallai (120')
Kubler (117')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
VfL Bochum
2-1
Freiburg
Polter (54'), Pantovic (82')
Losilla (32'), Antwi-Adjej (90+1')
Lienhart (51')
Kubler (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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