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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Union Berlin logo

Hertha Berlin
1 - 4
Union Berlin

Baumgartl (49' og.)
Lotka (13'), Jovetic (20'), Kempf (61'), Tousart (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haraguchi (31'), Promel (53'), Becker (74'), Michel (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 Union Berlin

Following recent encounters, Union now hold the edge in this local affair - particularly given Hertha's ongoing woes at the back, which are set to be exacerbated by absences this weekend. For that reason, the visitors can come out on top for a third straight Berlin derby; pushing their rivals one step closer to demotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
32.4%24.96%42.64%
Both teams to score 56.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69%46.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4%68.6%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74%27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31%62.69%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11%54.89%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 32.4%
    Union Berlin 42.64%
    Draw 24.96%
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.4%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 9.04%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.64%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin

Hertha Berlin
31.6%
Draw
29.8%
Union Berlin
38.6%
57
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Union Berlin
Khedira (54' og.), Serdar (90+5')
Serdar (15')
Voglsammer (11'), Stark (50' og.), Knoche (55')
Oztunali (43')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 4, 2021 5pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Andrich (10')
Ryerson (17'), Promel (28')
Lukebakio (35' pen.)
Guendouzi (28'), Tousart (45'), Torunarigha (53'), Ascacibar (78')
Dec 4, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-1
Union Berlin
Pekarik (51'), Piatek (74', 77')
Cunha (84')
Awoniyi (20')
Trimmel (36'), Ryerson (52'), Lenz (64')
Andrich (24')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
12Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


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