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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Stuttgart

Mainz 05
0 - 0
Stuttgart

FT

Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

Last Six:
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Dynamo Dresden vs. Stuttgart
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Stuttgart

 Stuttgart certainly have more to play for in this game and will be desperate for three points to increase their lead over the bottom three, but they face a tough test. Given the absences they are dealing with, we opt for a draw on Saturday, with Mainz also likely seeing the meeting as a good opportunity to add to their points tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
52.82%24.53%22.64%
Both teams to score 50.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07%50.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.8%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05%50.95%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74.01%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 52.82%
    Stuttgart 22.65%
    Draw 24.53%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.08%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
82.8%
Draw
13.8%
Stuttgart
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz 05
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz 05
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz 05
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-0
Stuttgart
Ujah (76')
Holtmann (63')

Ascacibar (79'), Sosa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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