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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Stuttgart

Mainz 05
0 - 0
Stuttgart

FT

Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Dynamo Dresden vs. Stuttgart
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart certainly have more to play for in this game and will be desperate for three points to increase their lead over the bottom three, but they face a tough test. Given the absences they are dealing with, we opt for a draw on Saturday, with Mainz also likely seeing the meeting as a good opportunity to add to their points tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
52.82%24.53%22.64%
Both teams to score 50.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07%50.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.8%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05%50.95%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77%37.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99%74.01%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 52.82%
    Stuttgart 22.65%
    Draw 24.53%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.08%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
Draw
Stuttgart
Mainz 05
82.8%
Draw
13.8%
Stuttgart
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz 05
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz 05
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz 05
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern33247295326379
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331911370412968
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33169865452057
4Freiburg33167104850-255
5Borussia DortmundDortmund331661168511754
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig33131285145651
8Werder Bremen33139115056-648
9Stuttgart331381261511047
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33136145556-145
11Augsburg331110123449-1543
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14St Pauli3388172839-1132
15Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3367204977-2825
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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